SMARTCROWD: UPDATE: Leadership of Cuba, Fidel Castro?

August 19, 2006

UPDATE: Leadership of Cuba, Fidel Castro?

The markets covering the likelihood of Fidel Castro resuming the Leadership of Cuba diverged during the week as further mixed news seeped into the public domain.

Views are still mixed as shown by the following prices (at the time of this entry):

Inkling Markets, UP, at 76.13 (30th September)

Newsfutures, DOWN, at 46 (open-ended)

Tradesports, DOWN, at 15 (31st August)

Each of these markets has a different expiry period.

Click here for <original entry, news and current prices>.

From the crew at SMARTCROWD.

Posted on August 19, 2006 at 10:48 AM in Politics | Permalink

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SMARTCROWD Consensus Index

Updated December 1st, 2007
GOP NOM Thompson (F) 7.88% +
GOP NOM Romney 28.41% -
GOP NOM McCain 6.5% -
GOP NOM Giuliani 39.10% -
DEM NOM Edwards 8.63% +
DEM NOM Obama 22.71% -
DEM NOM Clinton 64.36% -
GOP President '08 37.74% +
DEM President '08 62.15% =

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November 2007